[0기초용] n 9, Writers' Strike Is a 'Marathon, Not a Sprint'

Writers' Strike Is a 'Marathon, Not a Sprint'
Industry Experts Predict
the Writers' Strike Could Wear on for Months.
The forecast is in from Hollywood:
Get ready for a long, cold winter of repeats and reality TV.
Tuesday afternoon,
the AP reported that Fox's "Back to You"
and "'Til Death," ABC's "Desperate Housewives,"
and CBS' "Rules of Engagement" will stop production
and go on hiatus
because of the Hollywood writers' strike.
The annoucements came a day
after the late night comedy shows --
including those of Jay Leno, David Letterman, Jon Stewart
and Jimmy Kimmel -- went into reruns.
Members of the Writers Guild of America went
on strike early Monday morning
after failing to reach an agreement
with the major TV networks and movie studios on their contract,
which expired Nov. 1.
The 'WGA' and the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers,
the group representing the major TV networks and movie studios,
are at odds over
how much of a cut writers should get
for online distribution and DVDs of TV shows and movies.
According to experts,
unless the two groups meet back
at the negotiating table this week,
the writers probably won't pick up
their pens anytime soon.
And while the world may know Hollywood as a town of stars,
it's also a town of unions.
With the 'WGA' on strike, it's possible other unions,
like the Screen Actors Guild and the Directors Guild of America,
both of which have a vested interest
in the online/DVD distribution issue,
and have contracts
with the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers
that expire in 2008,
could stop working as well.'
Months and Months, Not Weeks and Days'"
There are a lot of people who think
this [strike] is going to be a matter of months and months
not weeks and days,"
said Ben Grossman, the Los Angeles bureau chief
for the trade publication Broadcasting & Cable. "
This is a marathon, not a sprint.""
Last I heard,
there's no plan for them to even be talking,
and that's a concern," he said. "
There's a feeling that if they don't do something right away,
in the first couple days,
then we as an industry are going to be settling in
for a long, long work stoppage."
Late night comedy shows,
whose jokes and jabs are often written day-of-air,
are already reeling from the strike.
Daytime soap operas, with plotlines penned close to broadcast,
will likely be the next victims.
Prime-time scripted series will go black
in six to seven weeks,
when producers run out of banked scripts.
The last writers' strike happened in 1988 and lasted 22 weeks.
Its effects on the industry were catastrophic:
It cost the industry an estimated $500 million,
and the broadcast networks saw a 9 to 10 percent drop
in their audience as viewers switched over to cable.

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