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[Writers' Strike Is a 'Marathon, Not a Sprint']

Industry Experts Predict
the Writers' Strike Could Wear on
for Months.

The forecast is in
from Hollywood:
Get ready
for a long, cold winter
of repeats and reality TV.

Tuesday afternoon,
the AP reported
that Fox's "Back to You"
and "'Til Death,"
ABC's "Desperate Housewives,"
and CBS' "Rules of Engagement" will stop
production
and go on hiatus (중단)
because of the Hollywood writers' strike.

The annoucements came
a day
after the late night comedy shows --
including those of Jay Leno, David Letterman, Jon Stewart
and Jimmy Kimmel --
went into reruns.

Members of the Writers Guild of America went
on strike
early Monday morning
after failing to reach an agreement
with the major TV networks and movie studios
on their contract,
which expired Nov. 1.

The 'WGA' and the Alliance of Motion Picture
and Television Producers, the group
representing the major TV networks and movie studios,
are at odds over
how much of a cut writers should get
for online distribution and DVDs of TV shows and movies.

According to experts,
unless the two groups meet back
at the negotiating table this week,
the writers probably won't pick up
their pens anytime soon.

And while the world may know
Hollywood as a town of stars,
it's also a town of unions.

With the 'WGA' on strike,
it's possible
other unions,
like the Screen Actors Guild
and the Directors Guild of America,
both of which have a vested interest
in the online/DVD distribution issue,
and have contracts
with the Alliance of Motion Picture
and Television Producers
that expire in 2008,
could stop working
as well.
'Months and Months, Not Weeks and Days'

"There are a lot of people
who think
this [strike] is going to be a matter
of months and months
not weeks and days,"

said Ben Grossman, the Los Angeles bureau chief
for the trade publication Broadcasting & Cable.

"This is a marathon, not a sprint."

"Last I heard,
there's no plan
for them to even be talking,
and that's a concern,"
he said.

"There's a feeling
that if they don't do
something right away,
in the first couple days,
then we as an industry
are going to be settling in
for a long, long work stoppage."

Late night comedy shows,
whose jokes and jabs are often written day-of-air,
are already reeling (휘청거리다)
from the strike.

Daytime soap operas,
with plotlines
penned close to broadcast,
will likely be the next victims.

Prime-time scripted series will go black
in six to seven weeks,
when producers run out of
banked scripts.

The last writers' strike happened
in 1988
and lasted 22 weeks.

Its effects
on the industry
were catastrophic:

It cost
the industry an estimated $500 million,
and the broadcast networks saw
a 9 to 10 percent drop
in their audience
as viewers switched over to cable.

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[3중급] Writers' Strike Is a 'Marathon, Not a Sprint'

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