Industry Experts Predict the Writers' Strike Could Wear on for Months.
The forecast is in from Hollywood: Get ready for a long, cold winter of repeats and reality TV.
Tuesday afternoon, the AP reported that Fox's "Back to You" and "'Til Death," ABC's "Desperate Housewives," and CBS' "Rules of Engagement" will stop production and go on hiatus (중단) because of the Hollywood writers' strike.
The annoucements came a day after the late night comedy shows -- including those of Jay Leno, David Letterman, Jon Stewart and Jimmy Kimmel -- went into reruns.
Members of the Writers Guild of America went on strike early Monday morning after failing to reach an agreement with the major TV networks and movie studios on their contract, which expired Nov. 1.
The 'WGA' and the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers, the group representing the major TV networks and movie studios, are at odds over how much of a cut writers should get for online distribution and DVDs of TV shows and movies.
According to experts, unless the two groups meet back at the negotiating table this week, the writers probably won't pick up their pens anytime soon.
And while the world may know Hollywood as a town of stars, it's also a town of unions.
With the 'WGA' on strike, it's possible other unions, like the Screen Actors Guild and the Directors Guild of America, both of which have a vested interest in the online/DVD distribution issue, and have contracts with the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers that expire in 2008, could stop working as well. 'Months and Months, Not Weeks and Days'
"There are a lot of people who think this [strike] is going to be a matter of months and months not weeks and days,"
said Ben Grossman, the Los Angeles bureau chief for the trade publication Broadcasting & Cable.
"This is a marathon, not a sprint."
"Last I heard, there's no plan for them to even be talking, and that's a concern," he said.
"There's a feeling that if they don't do something right away, in the first couple days, then we as an industry are going to be settling in for a long, long work stoppage."
Late night comedy shows, whose jokes and jabs are often written day-of-air, are already reeling (휘청거리다) from the strike.
Daytime soap operas, with plotlines penned close to broadcast, will likely be the next victims.
Prime-time scripted series will go black in six to seven weeks, when producers run out of banked scripts.
The last writers' strike happened in 1988 and lasted 22 weeks.
Its effects on the industry were catastrophic:
It cost the industry an estimated $500 million, and the broadcast networks saw a 9 to 10 percent drop in their audience as viewers switched over to cable.
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